20 People Who Predicted the Future and Were Completely Wrong
Nobody has a crystal ball.
Published 2 months ago in Facepalm
Trying to predict the future is a tricky business, and nobody has an accurate crystal ball.
But some people still think they know what's coming next and take pleasure in confidently sharing their decrees. It's extra satisfying when those folks are dead wrong.
Here are 20 people from distant and recent history, some otherwise very intelligent, who were dead wrong in their predictions for the future.
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Robert Metcalfe might have been the co-creator of Ethernet, but he had little faith in the internet itself. He wrote a 1996 InfoWorld article called "From the Ether: Predicting the Internet's Catastrophic Collapse and Ghost Sites Galore in 1996."
In it, he stated, “I predict the Internet, which only just recently got this section here in InfoWorld, will soon go spectacularly supernova and in 1996 catastrophically collapse."6
In a piece for the Ladies' Home Journal in 1900, John Elfreth Watkins predicted that the world would transition to phonetic spelling, completely eliminating C, X, and Q as letters. He also thought Russian would become the world’s second most spoken language. I guess a different Cold War outcome could have helped the second idea.8
Darryl F. Zanuck was a co-founder of 20th Century Fox, and a powerful movie executive. But despite his knowledge of the big screen, he was doubtful of the little one. He is quoted as saying, “Television won't be able to hold on to any market it captures after the first six months. People will soon get tired of staring at a plywood box every night.”10
In 1965, Time predicted that most jobs would eventually be done by computers, thus allowing 90% of the population to live via subsidies. "With government benefits, even non-working families will have, by one estimate, an annual income of $30,000 to $40,000.” Of course, everyone knows that once a position becomes automated, companies just lay off those employees.